Warriors vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 23, 2024, 4:35 PM
  • The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | KATU

The Golden State Warriors visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 5-1 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 3-0 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-6.5 -105O 221.5 -110-250
Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 -115U 221.5 -110+195

Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 away games (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 away games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Warriors have gone 5-1 (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • 6-0 against the Moneyline (+5.05 Units / 54.18% ROI)
  • 1-5 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI)
  • 5-1 against the Under for game total points (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Trail Blazers have gone 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 2-1 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 61.29% ROI)
  • 0-3 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 3-0 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-25.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 34 games (-22.25 Units / -63% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-20.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 82 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 65 games (-13.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 79 games (-13.65 Units / -15% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Warriors were 23-2 (.920) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 49% last season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Warriors are 49-8 (.860) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — T-worst in the NBA. The Warriors shot 38% from three (1,211/3,190) last season — 7th-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 6-36 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Warriors averaged 54.9 rebounds/game last season — highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 4-10 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Oct. 23

  • Portland Trail Blazers – No Injuries Reported
  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,017 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (331 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,406 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (354 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.