Wizards vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 21

  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | FDWI

The Washington Wizards visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 9-15 against the spread, while the Bucks are 11-15 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Bucks.

Bucks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 68.9% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 51 of their last 80 games (+19.53 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 66 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 9-15 (-7.5 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • 4-21 against the Moneyline (-9.9 Units / -39.6% ROI)
  • 13-12 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • 12-13 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -18.52% ROI).

  • 15-12 against the Moneyline (-4.1 Units / -6.31% ROI)
  • 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 79 games (-26.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 88 games (-20.15 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 69 games (-29.44 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 80 games (-27.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 54 games (-25.35 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 53 games (-22.95 Units / -38% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 4-53 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Wizards are 3-33 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .349

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Bucks are 31-1 (.969) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .843

The Bucks were 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Bucks are 27-15 (.643) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Bucks were 22-11 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 33% from three (651/1,980) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Wizards averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,330 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (1,305/3,826) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (269 points/26 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,234 points/4,539 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Bucks have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (146 points/26 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,046 rebounds/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (961 rebounds/26 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Bucks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (193 steals/26 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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