Wizards vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -7.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | FDSE

The Washington Wizards visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Hawks Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 0-2 against the spread, while the Hawks are 0-3 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+7.5 -115O 234.5 -115+225
Atlanta Hawks -7.5 -105U 234.5 -105-275

Hawks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Monday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Hawks.

Hawks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.9% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 37 away games (+14.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+12.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Wizards have gone 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Hawks have gone 0-3 (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 2-1 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 16.95% ROI)
  • 3-0 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-3 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 82 games (-33.50 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 42 games at home (-20.70 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-16.80 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 games at home (-11.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 82 games (-34.10 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-24.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 30 games (-20.10 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-17.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 77 games (-16.35 Units / -18% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards were 5-63 (.074) when allowing 110 or more points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339

The Wizards were 1-40 (.024) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Injury Report: Hawks vs. WizardsMonday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported
  • Washington Wizards – No Injuries Reported

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,330 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks shot 34% from three (412/1,218) in the first half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,956 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards allowed 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,778 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks allowed 8.5 fast break points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.