Wizards vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 29

  • The Lakers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Lakers Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 27-30 against the spread, while the Lakers are 28-33 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+9.5 -115O 243.5 -110+333
Los Angeles Lakers -9.5 -105U 243.5 -110-450

Lakers vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 84.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Lakers.

Lakers vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 away games (+13.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 80 games (+21.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+15.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 27-30 (-5.95 Units / -9.33% ROI).

  • 9-49 against the Moneyline (-35.95 Units / -60.07% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.55% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 28-33 (-8.35 Units / -12.43% ROI).

  • 33-28 against the Moneyline (+7.55 Units / 6.43% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.34% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Under for game total points (-5.15 Units / -7.67% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 80 games (-29.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 98 games (-21.95 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 94 games (-19.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 94 games (-18.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 98 games (-17.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 78 games (-42.15 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 63 games (-21.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 63 games (-20.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 51 games (-20.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.00 Units / -23% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Wizards are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are 2-17 (.105) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Lakers were 4-13 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Lakers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Lakers are 15-4 (.789) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .671

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Injury Report: Lakers vs. WizardsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 29

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (262 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards are shooting 33% from three (290/871) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers have made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,789 rebounds/53 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (302 blocks/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (426 steals/54 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.