Wizards vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 24, 2024, 9:01 AM
  • The Pacers are -11.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | FDIN

The Washington Wizards visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Pacers Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 4-10 against the spread, while the Pacers are 6-9 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+11.5 -110O 242.5 -105+500
Indiana Pacers -11.5 -110U 242.5 -115-700

Pacers vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Pacers.

Pacers vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 67.9% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 69 games (+23.78 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 55 games (+17.28 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games (+17.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 89 games (+13.62 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 4-10 (-7 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • 2-12 against the Moneyline (-7.7 Units / -55% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -22.16% ROI).

  • 6-10 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -31.33% ROI)
  • 12-4 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 43.18% ROI)
  • 4-12 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-26.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-23.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 91 games (-21.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 44 games (-21.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 82 games (-29.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 82 games (-29.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 42 games (-23.25 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 43 games (-22.10 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 69 games (-20.65 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 4-47 (.078) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Wizards are 8-53 (.131) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Pacers are 3-8 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .410

The Pacers are 13-32 (.289) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .331

The Pacers are 34-18 (.654) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Pacers are 22-18 (.550) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 50% from three (16/32) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have averaged 17.4 fast break points per game (1,668 points/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have averaged 28.7 points in the paint per game (2,808 points/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 16.5 second chance points per game (1,580 points/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4

The Pacers have allowed 57.3 points in the paint per game (5,620 points/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.0

The Pacers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,313 rebounds/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,039 blocks/180 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.