Wizards vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 23

  • The Thunder are -18.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on MMT2 | FDOK

The Washington Wizards visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 9-16 against the spread, while the Thunder are 17-10 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Thunder.

Thunder vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.68 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 67 games (+17.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 45 games at home (+20.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 9-16 (-8.6 Units / -30.07% ROI).

  • 4-22 against the Moneyline (-10.9 Units / -41.92% ROI)
  • 13-13 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 13-13 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 17-10 (+6 Units / 19.48% ROI).

  • 22-6 against the Moneyline (+5.75 Units / 5.34% ROI)
  • 11-17 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -25% ROI)
  • 17-11 against the Under for game total points (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.73 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-19.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 94 games (-18.05 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 94 games (-17.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 84 games (-17.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 70 games (-30.44 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 80 games (-27.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 55 games (-26.35 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 54 games (-24.15 Units / -39% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Wizards are winless (0-13) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Wizards are 3-34 (.081) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .347

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Thunder are 10-1 (.909) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Thunder are 63-17 (.788) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed 122.8 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 44-4 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were 39-6 (.867) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards allowed 18.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,488 rebounds/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have allowed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,687 rebounds/187 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 8.9 steals per game (834 steals/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.