Wizards vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -16.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 35-42 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 40-37 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+17.5 -110O 222.5 -105+1000
Minnesota Timberwolves -17.5 -110U 222.5 -115-2000

Timberwolves vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 93.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 away games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games at home (+22.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 35-42 (-11.2 Units / -12.89% ROI).

  • 15-64 against the Moneyline (-28.8 Units / -34.31% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 40-37 (-0.8 Units / -0.93% ROI).

  • 54-24 against the Moneyline (+6.65 Units / 2.53% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-22.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (-21.10 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-19.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 73 games (-15.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 25 games (-15.50 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 26 games (-14.00 Units / -51% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Wizards are 3-38 (.073) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Wizards are winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Wizards are 7-44 (.137) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Wizards are 1-8 (.111) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Timberwolves are 42-10 (.808) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed 122.8 points per game this season — worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 32-3 (.914) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 16-2 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 8-2 (.800) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. WizardsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (720 points/79 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (749 points/39 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (449/1,337) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (904 points/79 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (344/807) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,189 rebounds/78 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Timberwolves averaged 12.3 second chance points per game (1,011 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (987/2,547) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.6 second chance points per game (705 points/40 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 16.5 second chance points per game (1,300 points/79 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Wizards averaged 6.8 steals per game (561 steals/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Wizards have allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,610 points/79 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 49% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (467 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,721 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.