Air Force vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

(AP Photo)
  • Boise State is a -21.5 point favorite vs Air Force
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Air Force / Boise State TV channel: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons visit ExtraMile Arena to take on the Boise State Broncos on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Boise, ID.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-105).

The Air Force vs. Boise State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+21.5 -115O 135.5 -115+1700
Boise State -21.5 -105U 135.5 -105-10000

Air Force vs Boise State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 62.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+8.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 14 away games (+3.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -72.64% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -23.32% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -0.96% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -5.41% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.59% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has made 8.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Air Force averaged 65.6 points per game (1,903 points/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Air Force averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

Air Force has averaged 66.3 points per game (729 points/11 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 76.7

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 30% from three (69/227) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Boise State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (369 assists/ 331 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Boise State has averaged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (127 rebounds/11 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Boise State has an eFG% of 52% this season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Air Force has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (873 rebounds/40 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (2,838 points/2,119 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (74/251) this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boise State allowed 66.0 points per game (1,979 points/30 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (731 points/665 shots) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Boise State allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.