Alabama State vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 3

SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
  • SMU is a -22.5 point favorite vs Alabama State
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Alabama State / SMU TV channel: ESPN+

The Alabama State Hornets visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Dec. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-105).

The Alabama State vs. SMU Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama State+22.5 -115O 156.5 -110+1800
SMU -22.5 -105U 156.5 -110-10000

Alabama State vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama State vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 18 away games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+10.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 3-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -67.19% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.07% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 3-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -0.25% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.65 Units / -52.54% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State had a TS% of 41% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State had an eFG% of 42% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU averaged 15.2 assists per game (488 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 47th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State averaged 8.8 steals per game (265 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Alabama State averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (716 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alabama State averaged 8.8 steals per game (265 steals/30 games) last season — 4th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama State allowed 68.0 points per game (2,041 points/30 games) last season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 74.5

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.