Alabama vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – March Madness

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2024, 10:32 AM
  • March Madness prediction & Final Four betting odds
  • UConn (26-12) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Alabama (21-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
  • Alabama / UConn TV channel: TBS

The Alabama Crimson Tide (21-15) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the UConn Huskies (26-12) on Apr. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:49pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Alabama vs. UConn Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+11.5 -105O 160.5 -115+525
UConn -11.5 -115U 160.5 -105-750

Alabama vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 29 games (+24.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 21-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.55 Units / 11.46% ROI).

  • 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 2.21% ROI
  • 27-9 when betting the Over for +17.1 Units / 43.13% ROI
  • 9-27 when betting the Under for -20.65 Units / -52.21% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 23-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+14.15 Units / 41.43% ROI).

  • 26-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.5 Units / 6.91% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -20.15% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.75 Units / 11.05% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 89.6 points per game (2,778 points/31 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Alabama has made 498 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 1,360 threes at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 986 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (658 assists/ 344 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,342 assists/ 847 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UConn has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,342 assists/74 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

UConn has averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,858 points/2,062 shots) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,020 rebounds/68 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,020 rebounds/68 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.5

Alabama has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (850 rebounds/31 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,431) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,973 rebounds/74 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (785/1,978) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has 467 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Big East Teams

UConn has averaged 6.3 steals per game (222 steals/35 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.