Arizona State vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

Massachusetts head coach Frank Martin is seen on the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Saint Louis Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
  • Arizona State is a -9.5 point favorite vs UMass
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Arizona State / UMass TV channel: CBSSN

The Arizona State Sun Devils visit MassMutual Center to take on the UMass Minutemen on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Springfield, MA.

Arizona State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-120).

The Arizona State vs. UMass Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Arizona State vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona State-9.5 -120O 150.5 -110-500
UMass +9.5 +100U 150.5 -110+375

Arizona State vs UMass Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arizona State vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+6.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.07 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Arizona State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona State has a 7-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 5.03% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (537 points/458 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arizona State shot 63% from the free throw line (170/270) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Arizona State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (114/185) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Arizona State had an eFG% of 47% last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass is shooting 26% from three (66/254) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMass is shooting 30% from three (268/900) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMass is shooting 63% from the free throw line (181/289) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UMass averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (57 steals/10 games) this season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 8.2

Arizona State allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (34/147) in the first half last season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arizona State averaged 8.5 steals per game (102 steals/12 games) last season — 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arizona State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (39/130) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (319 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 25.0

UMass has averaged 8.1 steals per game (97 steals/12 games) this season — 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UMass has averaged 8.1 steals per game (97 steals/12 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

UMass has averaged 7.7 steals per game (325 steals/42 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.