Arkansas vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 28

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 28, 2024, 9:36 AM
  • Illinois is a -2.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Arkansas / Illinois TV channel: CBS

The Arkansas Razorbacks visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Nov. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Kansas City, MO.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Illinois Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+2.5 -110O 154.5 -110+120
Illinois -2.5 -110U 154.5 -110-145

Arkansas vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 72.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+3.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 38 games (+19.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.73 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+11.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 2-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI).

  • 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 25.37% ROI).

  • 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 1.78% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois averaged 82.8 points per game (3,063 points/37 games) last season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Illinois had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Illinois had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Illinois averaged 82.8 points per game (3,063 points/37 games) last season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,056 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Illinois averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,056 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Illinois forced 8.4 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/27 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Illinois forced 8.4 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/27 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.