- Appalachian State (19-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (20-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Arkansas State / Appalachian State TV channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (19-12) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Pensacola, FL.
Appalachian State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).
The Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | +4.5 +100 | O 145.5 -115 | +180 |
| Appalachian State | -4.5 -120 | U 145.5 -105 | -225 |
Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Appalachian State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games (+18.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 21-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10 Units / 28.21% ROI).
- 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 4.32% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -19.09% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.48% ROI
Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Appalachian State has a 19-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.95 Units / 21.09% ROI).
- 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.7 Units / 11.67% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9
Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5
Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Appalachian State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (665/1,000) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%
Appalachian State is shooting 57% from inside the arc (482/844) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 51%
Appalachian State is shooting 47% (712/1,500) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Appalachian State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (298/457) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9
Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3
Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Appalachian State has averaged 29.2 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8
Appalachian State has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,596 points/1,554 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
Appalachian State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,355/3,423) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%
Appalachian State has averaged 29.2 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/24 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
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