Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Auburn is a -5.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 165.5 points
  • Auburn / Kentucky TV channel: ABC

The Auburn Tigers visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lexington, KY, USA.

Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Auburn vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 165.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn-5.5 -105O 165.5 -110-225
Kentucky +5.5 -115U 165.5 -110+185

Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Auburn vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 35 games (+16.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.93 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+3.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+2.60 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.22 Units / 5% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 12.3% ROI).

  • 26-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.5 Units / 2.21% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.85 Units / 15.75% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -25.16% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.55 Units / -5.02% ROI).

  • 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 1.17% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (384 assists/ 234 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (469 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (469 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (230 assists/ 123 TOs) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (480 assists/ 302 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (737 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 46th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Auburn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (889 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (735/1,916) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (530/1,406) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (231/779) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (801 rebounds/28 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.2

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky has forced 9.0 turnovers per game (171 turnovers/19 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4


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