- Ball State (10-6) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (6-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
- Ball State / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+
The Ball State Cardinals (10-6) visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls (6-10) on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY.
Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Ball State vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 144.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | -1.5 -115 | O 144.5 -110 | -130 |
| Buffalo | +1.5 -105 | U 144.5 -110 | +110 |
Ball State vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Ball State vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Ball State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Ball State has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -13.86% ROI
- 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.57% ROI
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.52% ROI).
- 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -33.14% ROI
- 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,142 free throw attempts/2,777 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%
Ball State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,338 points/993 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Ball State has 22.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4
Ball State has averaged 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (151 rebounds/18 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo is shooting 26% from three (107/416) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo is shooting 26% from three (107/416) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo is shooting 42% (416/999) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%
Buffalo has an eFG% of 47% this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (100 steals/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (276 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Ball State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,200 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6
Ball State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,563 points/2,898 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.26
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,206 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6
Buffalo has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/17 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6
Buffalo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (360 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Buffalo has 360 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams
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