Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

(AP Photo)
  • Iowa State is a -8.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Baylor / Iowa State TV channel: CBS

The Baylor Bears visit James H. Hilton Coliseum to take on the Iowa State Cyclones on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Ames, IA.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Baylor vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+8.5 -110O 152.5 -110+300
Iowa State -8.5 -110U 152.5 -110-375

Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+23.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+14.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 12.3% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 1.41% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 7-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 11-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 1.54% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.41% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -20.75% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 42% from three (145/346) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (209 assists/ 114 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa St. averaged 3.4 turnovers per game (62 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three off the dribble (8/38) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 29%

Iowa State forced 16.2 turnovers per game (422 turnovers/26 games) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Iowa State has forced 15.8 turnovers per game (491 turnovers/31 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Iowa State averaged 10.3 steals per game (382 steals/37 games) last season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.