Baylor vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2024, 9:56 AM
  • Tennessee is a -4.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Baylor / Tennessee TV channel: CBSSN

The Baylor Bears visit Baha Mar Convention Center to take on the Tennessee Volunteers on Nov. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in .

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Baylor vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+4.5 -105O 144.5 -115+170
Tennessee -4.5 -115U 144.5 -105-210

Baylor vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 62.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+0.40 Units / 0% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 3-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 5.22% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 1.31% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/33 games) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Tennessee averaged 16.7 assists per game (551 assists/33 games) last season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Tennessee averaged 79.0 points per game (2,606 points/33 games) last season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee allowed opponents to shoot 39% (746/1,905) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (885 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tennessee averaged 8.0 steals per game (264 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee averaged 8.0 steals per game (264 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.