Belmont vs Drake Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

min read
Drake Bulldogs head coach Darian DeVries watches his team from the sidelines.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:27 AM
  • Drake (13-13) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Belmont (12-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Belmont / Drake TV channel: ESPN+

The Belmont Bruins (12-14) visit Knapp Center to take on the Drake Bulldogs (13-13) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Des Moines, IA.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Belmont vs. Drake Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Belmont vs. Drake Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Belmont+9.5 -110O 156.5 -110+375
Drake -9.5 -110U 156.5 -110-500

Belmont vs Drake Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Belmont vs Drake Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Drake will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 20.71% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 3.72% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.35% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.01% ROI

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont is shooting 38% from three (519/1,358) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (172 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Belmont has made 8.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Belmont has averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (361 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (361 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake is shooting 48% (660/1,365) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Drake has a TS% of 51% this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has averaged 7.7 steals per game (184 steals/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Belmont has averaged 7.3 steals per game (409 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Belmont has 184 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont has 409 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Drake has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,605 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Drake has averaged 5.8 steals per game (337 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Drake has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,820 points/3,310 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.