- Belmont is a -3.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
- Belmont / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Belmont Bruins visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN, USA.
Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Belmont vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 161.5 total points.
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Belmont vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Belmont | -3.5 -115 | O 161.5 -105 | -185 |
| Valparaiso | +3.5 -105 | U 161.5 -115 | +150 |
Belmont vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Belmont vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Belmont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.27 Units / 22% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.17 Units / 1% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Belmont has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -12.12% ROI).
- 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 11.85% ROI
- 17-7 when betting the Over for +9.3 Units / 35.23% ROI
- 7-17 when betting the Under for -11.7 Units / -44.32% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 8-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -22.81% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Belmont has made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Belmont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (444 assists/ 280 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Belmont averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (223 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Belmont has averaged 17.8 assists per game (444 assists/25 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.8
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso averaged 67.5 points per game (2,093 points/31 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Belmont averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (837 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Belmont averaged 7.3 steals per game (227 steals/31 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Belmont has 398 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Belmont stole the ball 227 times last season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.8 steals per game (145 steals/25 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (666/1,436) this season — 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,869 points/1,436 shots) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Valparaiso has forced 12.1 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/25 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1
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