- Cal Poly is a -1.5 point favorite vs UC Davis
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Cal Poly / UC Davis TV channel: ESPN+
The Cal Poly Mustangs visit Lee’s Family Forum to take on the UC Davis Aggies on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EDT in Henderson, NV, USA.
Cal Poly is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cal Poly | -1.5 -110 | O 151.5 -105 | -125 |
| UC Davis | +1.5 -110 | U 151.5 -115 | +105 |
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Cal Poly will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Cal Poly Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cal Poly has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 10% ROI)
UC Davis Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UC Davis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- UC Davis has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- UC Davis has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- UC Davis has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- UC Davis have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Cal Poly has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI).
- 13-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 5.45% ROI
- 19-12 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 16.98% ROI
- 12-19 when betting the Under for -8.85 Units / -25.99% ROI
UC Davis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UC Davis has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.75 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 9.43% ROI
- 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -20.69% ROI
- 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 12.23% ROI
Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:
Cal Poly has averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (507 turnovers/32 games) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Cal Poly has attempted 1,026 threes this season — most among Big West Teams
Cal Poly has made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Cal Poly had an eFG% of 45% last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%
UC Davis Offensive Stats & Trends:
UC Davis has averaged 10.8 assists per game (335 assists/31 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.7
UC Davis has made 6.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
UC Davis has averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (276 rebounds/31 games) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 9.1
UC Davis is shooting 41% (710/1,730) this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 44%
Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:
Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8
Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Cal Poly allowed an average of 1.33 points per shot (2,210 points/1,664 shots) last season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
Cal Poly averaged 5.4 steals per game (161 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4
UC Davis Defensive Stats & Trends:
UC Davis averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (675 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
UC Davis has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (667 rebounds/31 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.4
UC Davis averaged 8.0 steals per game (248 steals/31 games) last season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4
UC Davis has averaged 21.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,342 rebounds/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.6
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