California Baptist vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

(AP Photo)
  • California Baptist is a -2.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • California Baptist / Fresno State TV channel: ESPN+

The California Baptist Lancers visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Fresno, CA.

California Baptist is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The California Baptist vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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California Baptist vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California Baptist-2.5 -115O 152.5 -110-155
Fresno State +2.5 -105U 152.5 -110+125

California Baptist vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts California Baptist will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

California Baptist vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts California Baptist will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • California Baptist has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.87 Units / 5% ROI)
  • California Baptist have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 16 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.16 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

California Baptist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California Baptist has a 3-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 6.71% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -11.73% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

California Baptist Offensive Stats & Trends:

California Baptist shot 45% from inside the arc (455/1,004) last season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

California Baptist is shooting 47% from inside the arc (567/1,209) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

California Baptist has an eFG% of 48% this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

California Baptist has averaged 69.5 points per game (2,917 points/42 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 39% (277/712) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

Fresno State has a TS% of 41% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Fresno State has an eFG% of 44% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Fresno State has averaged 1.12 points per shot (794 points/712 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.30

California Baptist Defensive Stats & Trends:

California Baptist has averaged 4.7 steals per game (197 steals/42 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

California Baptist averaged 4.2 steals per game (130 steals/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

California Baptist allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

California Baptist allowed 65.5 points per game (2,030 points/31 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 79.0 points per game (869 points/11 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.4

Fresno State allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Fresno State forced 10.7 turnovers per game (331 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Fresno State allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (2,296 points/1,830 shots) last season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.