Dayton vs George Mason Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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George Mason forward Malik Henry (35) dunks for two against Auburn during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Julie Bennett)
(AP Photo/Julie Bennett)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:07 AM
  • Dayton (13-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs George Mason (14-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Dayton / George Mason TV channel: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers (13-11) visit EagleBank Arena to take on the George Mason Patriots (14-9) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Fairfax, VA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Dayton vs. George Mason Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. George Mason Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-2.5 -105O 133.5 -105-135
George Mason +2.5 -115U 133.5 -115+115

Dayton vs George Mason Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs George Mason Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts George Mason will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+11.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • George Mason has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • George Mason has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • George Mason have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • George Mason have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • George Mason has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI).

  • 20-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.85 Units / 13.56% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.95 Units / 3.47% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -12.14% ROI

George Mason Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

George Mason has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.42% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.81% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.4% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -12.33% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (851 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (333 assists/ 216 TOs) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

George Mason Offensive Stats & Trends:

George Mason has averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (736 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

George Mason has averaged 11.7 assists per game (268 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

George Mason has averaged 72.2 points per game (1,660 points/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

George Mason has averaged 11.7 assists per game (268 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,480 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (282 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

George Mason Defensive Stats & Trends:

George Mason has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (610 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

George Mason has averaged 5.0 steals per game (278 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

George Mason has averaged 5.0 steals per game (278 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

George Mason has averaged 5.5 steals per game (126 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.