- Missouri State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Evansville
- Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
- Evansville / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+
The Evansville Purple Aces visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield, MO, MO, USA.
Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Evansville vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 131.5 total points.
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Evansville vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Evansville | +3.5 -115 | O 131.5 -110 | +140 |
| Missouri State | -3.5 -105 | U 131.5 -110 | -170 |
Evansville vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Evansville vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.35 Units / -20.3% ROI).
- 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.95% ROI
- 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -28.36% ROI
- 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.15 Units / 19.54% ROI
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -44.59% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.39% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -8.51% ROI
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 66.3 points per game (1,657 points/25 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 75.0
Evansville has 16.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3
Evansville has averaged 66.3 points per game (1,657 points/25 games) this season — 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1
Evansville has 16.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (309 assists/ 346 TOs) this season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (677 assists/ 721 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (320/490) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 6.4 steals per game (372 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Evansville has 372 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville stole the ball 218 times last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville has averaged 6.2 steals per game (154 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has forced 13.4 turnovers per game (334 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State forced 9.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22
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