Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 8

Mount St. Mary's head coach Dan Engelstad directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 16, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
  • Mount St. Mary’s is a -2.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Fairfield / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers on Dec. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Emmitsburg, MD.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fairfield+2.5 -110O 138.5 -105+120
Mount St. Mary’s -2.5 -110U 138.5 -115-145

Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fairfield will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Fairfield have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 18.42% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 5-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 34.19% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield made 310 three-pointers last season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield had an eFG% of 52% last season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s had a TS% of 49% last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mount St. Mary’s had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Mount St. Mary’s had a TS% of 49% last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mount St. Mary’s shot 54% from inside the arc (458/855) last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Fairfield stole the ball 296 times last season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield averaged 8.5 steals per game (296 steals/35 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,994 points/1,624 shots) last season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

Mount St. Mary’s averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Mount St. Mary’s allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Mount St. Mary’s forced 12.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/28 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.2


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.