Fairfield vs Rider Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

(AP Photo)
  • Rider is a -4.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Fairfield / Rider TV channel: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags visit Alumni Gymnasium to take on the Rider Broncs on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lawrenceville, NJ, NJ, USA.

Rider is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Fairfield vs. Rider Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Fairfield vs. Rider Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fairfield+4.5 -115O 138.5 -110+155
Rider -4.5 -105U 138.5 -110-190

Fairfield vs Rider Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Rider will win this college basketball game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fairfield vs Rider Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Rider will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+2.61 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rider have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rider have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.65 Units / -27.67% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -28.4% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -4.19% ROI

Rider Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rider has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.71% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -7.7% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -12.04% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,756 points/1,572 shots) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Fairfield has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Fairfield is shooting 40% (625/1,572) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Fairfield made 310 three-pointers last season — most among MAAC Teams

Rider Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has made 5.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Rider has made 5.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Rider made 5.7 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Rider averaged 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (301 rebounds/28 games) last season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 8.9

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Fairfield has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,308 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Fairfield has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,308 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Fairfield stole the ball 296 times last season — most among MAAC Teams

Rider Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has averaged 5.6 steals per game (140 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Rider has averaged 6.2 steals per game (330 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Rider averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (705 rebounds/28 games) last season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Rider averaged 6.8 steals per game (190 steals/28 games) last season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.