Florida vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Florida is a -4.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Florida / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN

The Florida Gators visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Florida vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida-4.5 -115O 156.5 -115-210
Arkansas +4.5 -105U 156.5 -105+170

Florida vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+16.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+16.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.84 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.55 Units / 27.66% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 1.14% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 5-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.8 Units / -29.27% ROI).

  • 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 1.45% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 15.7 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Florida averaged 85.6 points per game (3,080 points/36 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas has averaged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (132 rebounds/15 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (455 rebounds/15 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.2

Florida has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (455 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,452 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Florida averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (997 rebounds/36 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (413 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Arkansas has averaged 6.4 steals per game (191 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.