Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 7

(AP Photo)
  • Colorado State is a -14.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Fresno State / Colorado State TV channel: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Moby Arena to take on the Colorado State Rams on Jan. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fort Collins, CO.

Colorado State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+14.5 -110O 149.5 -110+950
Colorado State -14.5 -110U 149.5 -110-2000

Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 18 away games (+1.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.86 Units / 4% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -25% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 2.62% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 41% (389/955) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

Fresno State has an eFG% of 46% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Fresno State has a TS% of 43% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Fresno State has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,112 points/955 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Colorado State has 15.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 20.4

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (843 assists/ 532 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Colorado State has a 26% free throw rate (213 free throw attempts/822 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 82.3 points per game (1,234 points/15 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.6

Fresno State has allowed 76.7 points per game (3,530 points/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Fresno State has allowed 82.3 points per game (1,234 points/15 games) this season — tied for 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Fresno State allowed 74.1 points per game (2,296 points/31 games) last season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Colorado State allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (2,277 points/1,924 shots) last season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Colorado State allowed 67.0 points per game (2,277 points/34 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Colorado State has averaged 4.9 steals per game (69 steals/14 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.