Houston vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 11:45 AM
  • Houston (11-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Texas (6-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Houston / Texas TV channel: ESPN

The Houston Cougars (11-8) visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (6-14) on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Austin, TX.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Houston vs. Texas Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Houston vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston-5.5 -105O 129.5 -105-225
Texas +5.5 -115U 129.5 -115+180

Houston vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Houston vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+19.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games at home (+18.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 7.19% ROI
  • 6-14 when betting the Over for -9.35 Units / -42.6% ROI
  • 14-6 when betting the Under for +7.4 Units / 33.56% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 6-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.4 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 4.94% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -2.95 Units / -13.5% ROI

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (298 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Houston has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Houston has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Houston has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/20 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas shot 42% from inside the arc (47/113) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed 51.9 points per game (1,038 points/20 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Houston has averaged 10.4 steals per game (208 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has allowed 51.9 points per game (1,038 points/20 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 66.3

Houston has allowed 28.8 points per game (576 points/20 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34.8

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas forced 0.4 turnovers per game (6 turnovers/16 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.