Illinois vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

The Maryland Terrapins coach shouting with his arms up in the air
(AP Photo)
  • Maryland is a -1.5 point favorite vs Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Illinois / Maryland TV channel: BTN

The Illinois Fighting Illini visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Maryland Terrapins on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

Maryland is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Illinois vs. Maryland Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois+1.5 -115O 157.5 -110-102
Maryland -1.5 -105U 157.5 -110-118

Illinois vs Maryland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+9.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 39 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 39 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+11.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games (+9.52 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 15-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.1 Units / -11.52% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -2.63% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 16.48% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting the Under for -8.9 Units / -25.28% ROI

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.91% ROI).

  • 22-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 2.03% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.82% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -19.71% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 81.8 points per game (2,209 points/27 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Illinois has 905 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has averaged 81.8 points per game (2,209 points/27 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Illinois has attempted 939 threes this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland shot 28% from three (188/660) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland averaged 10.8 assists per game (334 assists/31 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.4

Maryland had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (334 assists/ 361 TOs) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Maryland had a TS% of 44% last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,978 rebounds/68 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Illinois has forced 7.8 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/27 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Illinois has averaged 4.5 steals per game (304 steals/68 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Illinois has averaged 4.7 steals per game (191 steals/41 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has averaged 7.8 steals per game (241 steals/31 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Maryland has averaged 7.6 steals per game (304 steals/40 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Maryland has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,065 points/1,824 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Maryland has 241 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.