Illinois State vs Evansville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:25 PM
  • Illinois State (8-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Evansville (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Illinois State / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds (8-11) visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces (11-8) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.

Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Illinois State vs. Evansville Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State-2.5 -105O 137.5 -115-140
Evansville +2.5 -115U 137.5 -105+115

Illinois State vs Evansville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois State vs Evansville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Evansville will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Evansville have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -6.71% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -19.23% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10.48% ROI

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 18.28% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -24.23% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.45 Units / 16.63% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 28% from three (122/438) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has made 6.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Illinois State has averaged 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (215 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Illinois State has averaged 66.7 points per game (3,466 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Evansville has an eFG% of 47% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Evansville has averaged 66.9 points per game (3,480 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Evansville has averaged 1.14 points per shot (3,480 points/3,058 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (116 steals/20 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (116 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (299 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has allowed 68.5 points per game (1,370 points/20 games) this season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (541 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Evansville has averaged 6.9 steals per game (138 steals/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Evansville has 138 steals this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville has allowed 9.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.