- Illinois State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Illinois State / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+
The Illinois State Redbirds visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield, MO, MO, USA.
Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Illinois State vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Illinois State vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois State | -3.5 -105 | O 136.5 -110 | -160 |
| Missouri State | +3.5 -115 | U 136.5 -110 | +135 |
Illinois State vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Illinois State vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois State has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.15 Units / 24.16% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.88% ROI
- 18-9 when betting the Over for +8.1 Units / 27.23% ROI
- 9-18 when betting the Under for -10.75 Units / -36.26% ROI
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI).
- 7-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -42.15% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI
Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State is shooting 39% from three (287/736) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois State is shooting 49% (749/1,539) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%
Illinois State has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.1
Illinois State has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/28 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (715 assists/ 758 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (347 assists/ 383 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (346/535) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/28 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Illinois State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (154 steals/28 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Illinois State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (154 steals/28 games) this season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (2,035 points/1,554 shots) this season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (368 turnovers/28 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Missouri State has averaged 7.5 steals per game (209 steals/28 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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