Incarnate Word vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 10

BetMGM Betting Dec 10, 2024, 9:36 AM

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Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.

(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)

Duke is a -34.5 point favorite vs Incarnate Word
Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
Incarnate Word / Duke TV channel: ACCN

The Incarnate Word Cardinals visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Dec. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Durham, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-115).

The Incarnate Word vs. Duke Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Incarnate Word vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Incarnate Word	+34.5 -105	O 143.5 -110	+
Duke	-34.5 -115	U 143.5 -110	+

Incarnate Word vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Incarnate Word vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.

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Incarnate Word Basketball Best Bets Today:

Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:

Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+14.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Duke have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Duke has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+1.85 Units / 0% ROI)

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -4.17% ROI
6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 0.86% ROI
3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word shot 73% from the free throw line (427/587) last season — tied for 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 71%

Incarnate Word shot 51% from inside the arc (400/786) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

Incarnate Word averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,981 points/1,604 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Incarnate Word shot 51% from inside the arc (400/786) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (541 assists/ 342 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke shot 48% (983/2,060) last season — 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Duke had a TS% of 50% last season — 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Incarnate Word allowed opponents to shoot 45% (748/1,676) last season — 5th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke stole the ball 228 times last season — 4th most among ACC Teams

Duke allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Duke allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,316 points/1,994 shots) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Duke allowed 66.2 points per game (2,316 points/35 games) last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5