Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

Baylor guard Dale Bonner, bottom and Nicholls State guard Micah Thomas, above, tangle for the loose ball in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Dec. 28, 2022, in Waco, Texas. (AP Photo/Jerry Larson)
(AP Photo/Jerry Larson)
  • Nicholls State (14-10) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Incarnate Word (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Incarnate Word / Nicholls State TV channel: ESPN+

The Incarnate Word Cardinals (10-15) visit David R. Stopher Gymnasium to take on the Nicholls State Colonels (14-10) on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Thibodaux, LA.

Nicholls State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Incarnate Word vs. Nicholls State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Incarnate Word vs. Nicholls State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Incarnate Word+9.5 -110O 146.5 -110+375
Nicholls State -9.5 -110U 146.5 -110-500

Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nicholls State will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Incarnate Word will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 26 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Nicholls State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Nicholls State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Nicholls State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nicholls State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nicholls State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.45 Units / -19.78% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -14.2% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI

Nicholls State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nicholls State has a 15-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 15.64% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word is shooting 75% from the free throw line (336/450) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 71%

Incarnate Word has a 36% free throw rate (450 free throw attempts/1,253 field goal attempts) this season — 4th highest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 35%

Incarnate Word has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,578 points/1,253 shots) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Incarnate Word has made 7.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Nicholls State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has 21.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Nicholls State has averaged 1.29 points per shot (1,704 points/1,325 shots) this season — 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Nicholls State has made 7.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Nicholls State has a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 47%

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Incarnate Word has averaged 7.5 steals per game (399 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Incarnate Word has averaged 7.5 steals per game (399 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Incarnate Word has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Nicholls State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,220 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Nicholls State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (550 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Nicholls State has 461 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Southland Teams

Nicholls State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (461 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.