- Indiana State (15-11) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (15-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
- Indiana State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Indiana State Sycamores (15-11) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (15-11) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.
Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Indiana State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 158.5 total points.
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Indiana State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Indiana State | -15.5 -110 | O 158.5 -115 | -2000 |
| Valparaiso | +15.5 -110 | U 158.5 -105 | +950 |
Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 92.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Indiana State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Indiana State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 29 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Indiana State has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI).
- 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.09% ROI
- 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.35 Units / -18.8% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 9.93% ROI).
- 5-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -43.95% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.78% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -11.42% ROI
Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Indiana State has attempted 1,656 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Indiana State has an eFG% of 61% this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 41% (596/1,457) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,630 points/1,457 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Valparaiso has 16.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6
Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Indiana State has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (693 rebounds/24 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Indiana State has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,682 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (642/1,398) this season — 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (4,133 points/3,280 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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