Iowa vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:40 PM
  • Michigan (6-13) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Iowa (8-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
  • Iowa / Michigan TV channel: FS1

The Iowa Hawkeyes (8-11) visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (6-13) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Iowa vs. Michigan Over/Under is 162.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa+1.5 -115O 162.5 -115+105
Michigan -1.5 -105U 162.5 -105-125

Iowa vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -5.8% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.4 Units / 30.7% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -39.86% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 6-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -45.35% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.4 Units / 30.55% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.25 Units / -39.57% ROI

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 88.4 points per game (2,828 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 75.7

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (365 assists/ 191 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (908 assists/ 517 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (453 assists/ 243 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (386 assists/ 338 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Michigan is shooting 41% from three (92/227) in the first half this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan is shooting 37% from three (167/447) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 7.9 steals per game (151 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Iowa has allowed 75.5 points per game (2,417 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.7

Iowa has 151 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has allowed 39.9 points per game (2,074 points/52 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35.5

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.1 steals per game (77 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (235 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has averaged 4.0 steals per game (124 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (235 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.