Jacksonville State vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
  • Liberty is a -7.5 point favorite vs Jacksonville State
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Jacksonville State / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA, VA, USA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jacksonville State+7.5 -115O 133.5 -115+240
Liberty -7.5 -105U 133.5 -105-300

Jacksonville State vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Jacksonville State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Jacksonville State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+4.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Jacksonville State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Jacksonville State has a 16-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.2 Units / 22.63% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.4 Units / 36.63% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 18.55% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 16-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.3 Units / 31.5% ROI).

  • 19-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 2.35% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.39% ROI

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/28 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Jacksonville State has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/28 games) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Jacksonville State has a TS% of 49% this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Jacksonville State is shooting 74% from the free throw line (810/1,101) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 70%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (447 assists/ 277 TOs) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty has an eFG% of 57% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 51%

Liberty had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has averaged 27.9 defensive rebounds per game (780 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Jacksonville State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (131 steals/28 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Jacksonville State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,469 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Jacksonville State has averaged 27.9 defensive rebounds per game (780 rebounds/28 games) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 26.1

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (314/1,075) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Liberty has allowed 61.1 points per game (1,650 points/27 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 70.2

Liberty has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.2

Liberty has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.