Kentucky vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

Alabama head coach Nate Oats calls to his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Rutgers Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
(AP Photo/David Becker)
  • Alabama is a -7.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 179.5 points
  • Kentucky / Alabama TV channel: SECN

The Kentucky Wildcats visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Kentucky vs. Alabama Over/Under is 179.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+7.5 -115O 179.5 -110+240
Alabama -7.5 -105U 179.5 -110-300

Kentucky vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 74.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+1.80 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.99 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+1.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 16-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.75 Units / -4.96% ROI).

  • 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.9 Units / 1.55% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.45 Units / 4.23% ROI).

  • 22-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.14% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (527 assists/ 338 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 90.1 points per game (5,854 points/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.5

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Alabama has averaged 90.1 points per game (5,854 points/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.8

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (260/855) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Kentucky has allowed 37.1 points per game (1,149 points/31 games) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.6

Kentucky has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (883 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.1

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,868 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 30.4 defensive rebounds per game (941 rebounds/31 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.1

Alabama has averaged 6.0 steals per game (185 steals/31 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Alabama has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,868 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4


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