- Liberty is a -3.5 point favorite vs Western Kentucky
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Liberty / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+
The Liberty Flames visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY, USA.
Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Liberty | -3.5 -105 | O 142.5 -105 | -160 |
| Western Kentucky | +3.5 -115 | U 142.5 -115 | +135 |
Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Liberty vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Liberty Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+17.85 Units / 3% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Western Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Liberty has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 23.95% ROI).
- 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 1.7% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -15.29% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.07% ROI
Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Western Kentucky has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 6.35% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 10-18 when betting the Over for -9.85 Units / -31.93% ROI
- 18-10 when betting the Under for +7 Units / 22.76% ROI
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (491 assists/ 307 TOs) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Liberty had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%
Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (977 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Liberty had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 51%
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Western Kentucky averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Western Kentucky shot 34% from three (222/649) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 34%
Western Kentucky is shooting 34% from three (253/751) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 34%
Western Kentucky shot 47% (947/2,014) last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 44%
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has allowed 62.4 points per game (1,871 points/30 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 70.4
Liberty has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.2
Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (338/1,155) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Liberty has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.4
Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Western Kentucky has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (835 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Western Kentucky has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (835 rebounds/30 games) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 26.1
Western Kentucky has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,734 rebounds/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Western Kentucky has averaged 8.0 steals per game (496 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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