Little Rock vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 12

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The coach from Arkansas State Red Wolves shouting something
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2024, 9:45 AM
  • Arkansas State is a -15.5 point favorite vs Little Rock
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Little Rock / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Little Rock Trojans visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Nov. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The Little Rock vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Little Rock vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Little Rock+15.5 -115O 158.5 -115+775
Arkansas State -15.5 -105U 158.5 -105-1400

Little Rock vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Little Rock vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Little Rock have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+2.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock had an eFG% of 52% last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 49%

Little Rock had a TS% of 49% last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Little Rock averaged 77.5 points per game (2,480 points/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Little Rock averaged 32% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (617 free throw attempts/1,924 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State had an eFG% of 52% last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (768 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Little Rock averaged 5.9 steals per game (188 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Little Rock allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (2,330 points/1,885 shots) last season — tied for 4th highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (230/718) last season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State allowed 77.0 points per game (2,850 points/37 games) last season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas State allowed 77.0 points per game (2,850 points/37 games) last season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 73.8

Arkansas State allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,023/2,234) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.