- Duke is a -6.5 point favorite vs Louisville
- Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
- Louisville / Duke TV channel: ESPN
The Louisville Cardinals visit Spectrum Center to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Charlotte, NC, NC, USA.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Louisville vs. Duke Over/Under is 147.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | +6.5 -115 | O 147.5 -115 | +200 |
| Duke | -6.5 -105 | U 147.5 -105 | -250 |
Louisville vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Louisville vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 31 games (+17.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 22 games (+17.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 37 games (+23.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 20-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.7 Units / 15.66% ROI).
- 27-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.35 Units / 5% ROI
- 12-21 when betting the Over for -11.2 Units / -30.68% ROI
- 21-12 when betting the Under for +7.95 Units / 21.99% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 21-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.8 Units / 21.49% ROI).
- 30-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.95 Units / 1.63% ROI
- 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
- 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has a 43% free throw rate (935 free throw attempts/2,189 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Louisville is shooting 30% from three (266/883) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (545 assists/ 303 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (545 assists/ 303 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (290 assists/ 152 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,086 assists/ 645 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (843 rebounds/32 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Louisville allowed an average of 1.40 points per shot (1,958 points/1,397 shots) last season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,972 points/1,844 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Duke has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (882 rebounds/32 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,023 points/929 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.33
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,788 rebounds/67 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
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