- Kentucky is a -10.5 point favorite vs Louisville
- Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
- Louisville / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN
The Louisville Cardinals visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 5:15pm EST in Lexington, KY.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The Louisville vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 159.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Louisville | +10.5 -115 | O 159.5 -110 | +400 |
Kentucky | -10.5 -105 | U 159.5 -110 | -550 |
Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Louisville vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.27 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+5.10 Units / 0% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -61.99% ROI
- 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.85 Units / 53.18% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.65 Units / -5.88% ROI).
- 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (343 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky had an eFG% of 57% last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (271/804) last season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
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