Louisville vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 28

Texas Tech's Pop Isaacs (2) looks to pass the ball during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Oklahoma State, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Lubbock, Texas. (AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
(AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
  • Louisville is a -2.5 point favorite vs West Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Louisville / West Virginia TV channel: ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals visit Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers on Nov. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in .

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Louisville vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-2.5 -115O 151.5 -115-160
West Virginia +2.5 -105U 151.5 -105+135

Louisville vs West Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 31 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 3-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 1.78% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.95 Units / 53.64% ROI

West Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

West Virginia has a 3-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 30.96% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (343 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

West Virginia averaged 0.93 points per shot (300 points/321 shots) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.17

West Virginia shot 47% (150/321) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 58%

West Virginia shot 47% from inside the arc (150/321) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 58%

West Virginia had an eFG% of 47% in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

West Virginia allowed opponents to shoot 56% on catch and shoot opportunities (14/25) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

West Virginia allowed 9.2 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

West Virginia averaged 4.3 steals per game (139 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

West Virginia averaged 4.3 steals per game (139 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.