Marquette vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -1.5 point favorite vs Marquette
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Marquette / Dayton TV channel: CBSSN

The Marquette Golden Eagles visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Marquette vs. Dayton Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Marquette vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Marquette+1.5 -125O 151.5 -115-110
Dayton -1.5 +105U 151.5 -105-110

Marquette vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Marquette will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Marquette vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Marquette will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Marquette have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+7.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games at home (+16.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Marquette Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marquette has a 7-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 1.73% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 7-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 3.09% ROI
  • 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
  • 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI

Marquette Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette had 15.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Marquette shot 48% (1,013/2,130) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Marquette had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (547 assists/ 347 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Marquette had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Marquette Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette forced 14.8 turnovers per game (517 turnovers/35 games) last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Marquette forced 14.8 turnovers per game (517 turnovers/35 games) last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Marquette forced 14.4 turnovers per game (431 turnovers/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Marquette averaged 8.6 steals per game (302 steals/35 games) last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.