Memphis vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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  • Memphis is a -8.5 point favorite vs UTSA
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Memphis / UTSA TV channel: ESPN+

The Memphis Tigers visit UTSA Convocation Center to take on the UTSA Roadrunners on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX, USA.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Memphis vs. UTSA Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis-8.5 -115O 158.5 -115-425
UTSA +8.5 -105U 158.5 -105+325

Memphis vs UTSA Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Memphis vs UTSA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+11.24 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -7.69% ROI).

  • 24-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.9 Units / 7.43% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -14.44% ROI

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -12.35% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4.05 Units / 14.21% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.55 Units / -22.82% ROI

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (394 turnovers/29 games) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Memphis has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (789 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Memphis is shooting 39% from three (225/581) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Memphis has averaged 1.34 points per shot (4,740 points/3,535 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA is shooting 42% (677/1,618) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 45%

UTSA is shooting 41% (1,438/3,471) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

UTSA shot 41% (761/1,853) last season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UTSA had an eFG% of 49% last season — 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Memphis has averaged 7.6 steals per game (221 steals/29 games) this season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Memphis has averaged 8.0 steals per game (474 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA averaged 5.1 steals per game (149 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (4,344 points/3,279 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UTSA has 244 steals this season — 2nd most among AAC Teams

UTSA has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,488/3,279) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.