- Samford (11-5) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Mercer (8-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Mercer / Samford TV channel: ESPN+
The Mercer Bears (8-7) visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs (11-5) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Homewood, AL.
Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).
The Mercer vs. Samford Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Mercer vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mercer | +13.5 -115 | O 154.5 -110 | +625 |
| Samford | -13.5 -105 | U 154.5 -110 | -1000 |
Mercer vs Samford Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 91.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mercer vs Samford Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Mercer Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Samford Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Samford has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Samford have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mercer has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Samford has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).
- 12-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 14.49% ROI
- 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.85 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.56% ROI
Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mercer has a TS% of 45% this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Mercer has averaged 1.19 points per shot (3,518 points/2,952 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Mercer has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (198 turnovers/18 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Mercer has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,250 points/1,067 shots) this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:
Samford has a 37% free throw rate (1,124 free throw attempts/3,007 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 30%
Samford has 22.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 18.0
Samford is shooting 41% from three (193/471) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Samford has an eFG% of 58% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mercer has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,162 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Mercer has 129 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams
Mercer has averaged 7.2 steals per game (129 steals/18 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Mercer has averaged 6.2 steals per game (314 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:
Samford has averaged 11.1 steals per game (199 steals/18 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Samford has 459 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Southern Teams
Samford has averaged 9.2 steals per game (459 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Samford has forced 15.0 turnovers per game (752 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.5
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