Michigan vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

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Penn State head coach Mike Rhoades speaks during Big Ten NCAA college basketball Media Days Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 9:37 AM
  • Penn State (16-14) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Michigan (8-23)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Michigan / Penn State TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan Wolverines (8-23) visit Target Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (16-14) on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

Penn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Penn State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+6.5 -105O 150.5 -110+240
Penn State -6.5 -115U 150.5 -110-300

Michigan vs Penn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+1.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 8-23 record against the spread this college basketball season (-17.3 Units / -50.81% ROI).

  • 7-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.9 Units / -49.09% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.83% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.75 Units / -19.82% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.91% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 5.77% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Over for +7.8 Units / 22.81% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Under for -11 Units / -32.35% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (402 assists/ 369 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (285 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (146 assists/ 160 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has attempted 733 threes on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 260 three-pointers on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 566 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State is shooting 36% from three (566/1,551) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (130 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (244 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.