Michigan vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 23

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2024, 1:34 PM
  • Purdue (11-6) is a -17.5 point favorite vs Michigan (6-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Michigan / Purdue TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan Wolverines (6-12) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (11-6) on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Purdue Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

Bet now on Purdue vs Michigan & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Michigan vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+17.5 -105O 152.5 -110+1050
Purdue -17.5 -115U 152.5 -110-2500

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 93.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Purdue vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM


  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 6-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.35 Units / -44.35% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 27.2% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Under for -7.15 Units / -36.2% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 12-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.4 Units / 25.84% ROI).

  • 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 8.08% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.4 Units / 30.7% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -39.86% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (386 assists/ 338 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan is shooting 38% from three (158/418) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan has averaged 1.32 points per shot (703 points/532 shots) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (301 assists/ 271 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,071 points/1,582 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Purdue has averaged 1.42 points per shot (1,616 points/1,141 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue has averaged 1.35 points per shot (4,159 points/3,077 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Purdue has averaged 1.41 points per shot (811 points/576 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (233 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 4.0 steals per game (124 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (233 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has averaged 4.2 steals per game (75 steals/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,501 points/1,336 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,318 points/1,200 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (3,514 points/3,224 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue has averaged 29.6 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/19 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.4


Bet now on Purdue vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you donโ€™t have an account, check out BetMGMโ€™s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.