Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 4

An enthusiastic Minesota Golden Gophers coach
(AP Photo)
  • Michigan State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Minnesota
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Michigan State / Minnesota TV channel: BTN

The Michigan State Spartans visit Williams Arena to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Dec. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).

The Michigan State vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State-4.5 -120O 131.5 -110-210
Minnesota +4.5 +100U 131.5 -110+170

Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.14 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.75 Units / 7% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 2.18% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Minnesota has a 1-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.6 Units / -56.57% ROI).

  • 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 3.14% ROI
  • 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (268 assists/ 152 TOs) in the second half last season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota averaged 17.7 assists per game (530 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Minnesota had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (530 assists/ 363 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Minnesota shot 66% from the free throw line (241/366) in the second half last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota shot 68% from the free throw line (392/575) last season — 3rd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State allowed 66.2 points per game (2,252 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (135/410) in the first half last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State averaged 7.1 steals per game (240 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (129/320) last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Minnesota allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (191/522) last season — 2nd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota allowed opponents to shoot 45% (784/1,753) last season — 5th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Minnesota allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (84/262) in the second half last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.