- March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
- Michigan State (18-14) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (17-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
- Michigan State / Mississippi State TV channel: CBS
The Michigan State Spartans (18-14) visit Spectrum Center to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-16) on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 12:15pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.
Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 130.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | -1.5 -105 | O 130.5 -110 | -120 |
| Mississippi State | +1.5 -115 | U 130.5 -110 | +100 |
Michigan State vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence for today’s game.
Bet now on Mississippi State vs Michigan State and all games with BetMGM
Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+4.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 18-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 7.17% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.65 Units / -21.43% ROI
- 14-19 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -19.2% ROI
- 19-14 when betting the Under for +3.65 Units / 10.1% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 17-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.65 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 16-18 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -10.15% ROI
- 18-16 when betting the Under for +0.45 Units / 1.2% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
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