- Michigan State is predicted to be a -3.5-point favorite against Ole Miss.
- Ole Miss has won 26 of its last 28 games against non-conference opponents.
- One NCAA betting system predicts Michigan State will cover the spread.
Off a win and cover against New Mexico, Michigan State attempts to secure a regional final berth against Ole Miss.
The Spartans struggled in the first half but used a strong second half to capture a 71-63 win over the Lobos. It marks the 10th win in the last 11 games for Michigan State.
Ole Miss earned a second straight win with a 91-78 win over Iowa State in the round of 32. In their lone contest against Big Ten opposition this year, Chris Beard’s side lost to Purdue.
Bet on Michigan State vs. Ole Miss and other March Madness matchups with up-to-date college basketball odds.
Michigan State vs. Ole Miss Odds, March Madness
- Michigan State Moneyline: -180
- Ole Miss Moneyline: +145
- Game Spread: Michigan State -3.5 (-110), Ole Miss +3.5 (-110)
- Game Over/Under: 143.5 Points (-110/-110)
Michigan State vs. Ole Miss Prediction
Based on one historically profitable NCAAB betting system, the Michigan State vs. Ole Miss prediction for Friday’s game is the Michigan State Spread (-3.5, -110).
Essentially, this system looks to back strong free-throw shooting teams against opposition that forces play toward the basket.
Since 2006, teams listed between -20 and +2 are 53-14-1 ATS, assuming two statistical factors:
- The team’s free throw percentage falls between 77.2% and 85%
- The opponent’s defensive three-point percentage falls between 28.5% and 35.7%
This system has improved drastically both over the last four NCAA Tournaments and when you sample teams around short spreads.
Irrespective of the spread, the team with the strong free throw percentage owns a 30-3 ATS record over the last four seasons.
Dating back to 2006, these teams own a 29-5 ATS record when they close between -4 and +2, including 14-1 over the previous four seasons.
The kicker? These teams thrive against teams that closed as a market underdog in their last game.
Shrink the initial 68-game sample down to 37 where the opponent closed as a dog in their last game, and bettors will find those teams improve to 31-6 ATS.
As a result, bettors should consider the Spartans as narrow favorites in the Sweet 16.
Michigan State vs. Ole Miss: NCAAB Public Betting
| Team | Bets% (ATS) | Money% (ATS) | Bets% (ML) | Money% (ML) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 25% | 32% | 56% | 35% |
| Michigan St. | 75% | 68% | 44% | 65% |
